Table 5
Summary of the process phase, cause of failures, current measures, current risk measures. The subsequent government responses and re-evaluated risk measures are discussed in Table 6. *Risk measures calculated by averaging over the first 7 days.
| Process | Cause of failure | Current measures | Sev | Occ | Det | RPN* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First cases (22 Jan to 27 Feb) | • Failure to shut down international airlines due to imported infections from outside the UK. | • None | 1 | 10 | 10 | 100 |
| First deaths and early spread (28 Feb to 23 Mar) | •No social distancing for more than 15 minutes at distances of less than 2 metres. | •Hand washing (not practiced regularly)•Social distancing (not practiced regularly) | 9 | 9 | 7 | 567 |
| First lockdown (23 Mar to 4 May) | •Delayed lockdown against the rising pandemic. | • All of the above. •Nationwide lockdown applied in full force. |
10 | 9 | 3 | 270 |
| Easing down lockdown measures and continued restrictions (5 May to 31 May) | •Failure to practice safety measures once travel corridors opens and pubs, shops, restaurants and bars had reopened. • A vast number of sharing of potentially contaminated spaces. |
• Sanitization of cities and towns •Self-isolation and “stay at home” practices •Regular hand washing and social distancing • Wearing face masks |
10 | 6 | 2 | 120 |
| Continued restrictions and local lockdowns (1 June to 5 Sep) | •Failure to follow policies and protocols set by the government. | •Self-isolation and “stay at home” practices •Regular sanitization, social distancing and wearing face masks |
10 | 6 | 4 | 240 |
| Resurgance (6 Sep to 31 Oct) | •Overcrowded restaurants during the month-long “Eat Out to Help Out” scheme in August. •Reopening of schools in England, Wales and Northern Ireland for the autumn term. |
• Same as the above. • Curfews set across the country. •Tighter restrictions are put in place across the UK. |
5 | 8 | 5 | 200 |
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